Handicap analysis

paiN Gaming Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 73 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

Total Wins

Total Losses

Overall Handicap Summary

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %	Matches Covered
-16.5	36.67%	0%	15.07%	11
-14.5	46.67%	0%	19.18%	14
-12.5	56.67%	0%	23.29%	17
-10.5	60%	0%	24.66%	18
-8.5	60%	2.33%	26.03%	19
-6.5	70%	2.33%	30.14%	22
-4.5	73.33%	4.65%	32.88%	24
-2.5	80%	6.98%	36.99%	27
-0.5	83.33%	9.3%	39.73%	29
0.5	83.33%	9.3%	39.73%	29
2.5	86.67%	13.95%	43.84%	32
4.5	96.67%	18.6%	50.68%	37
6.5	96.67%	20.93%	52.05%	38
8.5	96.67%	32.56%	58.9%	43
10.5	96.67%	39.53%	63.01%	46
12.5	100%	44.19%	67.12%	49
14.5	100%	48.84%	69.86%	51
16.5	100%	53.49%	72.6%	53

Handicap Analysis by League

ESL One Birmingham 2026

14 matches • 4 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	25%	0%	7.14%
-14.5	25%	0%	7.14%
-12.5	50%	0%	14.29%
-10.5	50%	0%	14.29%
-8.5	50%	0%	14.29%
-6.5	50%	0%	14.29%
-4.5	50%	0%	14.29%
-2.5	50%	0%	14.29%
-0.5	75%	0%	21.43%
0.5	75%	0%	21.43%
2.5	75%	0%	21.43%
4.5	100%	10%	35.71%
6.5	100%	20%	42.86%
8.5	100%	40%	57.14%
10.5	100%	60%	71.43%
12.5	100%	60%	71.43%
14.5	100%	60%	71.43%
16.5	100%	60%	71.43%

DreamLeague Season 28

13 matches • 3 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	7.69%
-14.5	33.33%	0%	7.69%
-12.5	33.33%	0%	7.69%
-10.5	33.33%	0%	7.69%
-8.5	33.33%	0%	7.69%
-6.5	66.67%	0%	15.38%
-4.5	66.67%	10%	23.08%
-2.5	66.67%	10%	23.08%
-0.5	66.67%	10%	23.08%
0.5	66.67%	10%	23.08%
2.5	66.67%	10%	23.08%
4.5	100%	10%	30.77%
6.5	100%	10%	30.77%
8.5	100%	20%	38.46%
10.5	100%	20%	38.46%
12.5	100%	20%	38.46%
14.5	100%	30%	46.15%
16.5	100%	40%	53.85%

The International 2019

15 matches • 9 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	66.67%	0%	40%
-14.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-12.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-10.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-8.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-6.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-4.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-2.5	100%	0%	60%
-0.5	100%	16.67%	66.67%
0.5	100%	16.67%	66.67%
2.5	100%	33.33%	73.33%
4.5	100%	33.33%	73.33%
6.5	100%	33.33%	73.33%
8.5	100%	66.67%	86.67%
10.5	100%	83.33%	93.33%
12.5	100%	100%	100%
14.5	100%	100%	100%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

The International 2018

31 matches • 14 wins • 17 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	21.43%	0%	9.68%
-14.5	28.57%	0%	12.9%
-12.5	42.86%	0%	19.35%
-10.5	50%	0%	22.58%
-8.5	50%	5.88%	25.81%
-6.5	64.29%	5.88%	32.26%
-4.5	71.43%	5.88%	35.48%
-2.5	78.57%	11.76%	41.94%
-0.5	78.57%	11.76%	41.94%
0.5	78.57%	11.76%	41.94%
2.5	85.71%	17.65%	48.39%
4.5	92.86%	23.53%	54.84%
6.5	92.86%	23.53%	54.84%
8.5	92.86%	23.53%	54.84%
10.5	92.86%	23.53%	54.84%
12.5	100%	29.41%	61.29%
14.5	100%	35.29%	64.52%
16.5	100%	41.18%	67.74%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.40

27 matches • 7 wins • 20 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	28.57%	0%	7.41%
-14.5	28.57%	0%	7.41%
-12.5	42.86%	0%	11.11%
-10.5	42.86%	0%	11.11%
-8.5	42.86%	0%	11.11%
-6.5	57.14%	0%	14.81%
-4.5	57.14%	5%	18.52%
-2.5	57.14%	5%	18.52%
-0.5	71.43%	5%	22.22%
0.5	71.43%	5%	22.22%
2.5	71.43%	5%	22.22%
4.5	100%	10%	33.33%
6.5	100%	15%	37.04%
8.5	100%	30%	48.15%
10.5	100%	40%	55.56%
12.5	100%	40%	55.56%
14.5	100%	45%	59.26%
16.5	100%	50%	62.96%

Patch 7.22

15 matches • 9 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	66.67%	0%	40%
-14.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-12.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-10.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-8.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-6.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-4.5	88.89%	0%	53.33%
-2.5	100%	0%	60%
-0.5	100%	16.67%	66.67%
0.5	100%	16.67%	66.67%
2.5	100%	33.33%	73.33%
4.5	100%	33.33%	73.33%
6.5	100%	33.33%	73.33%
8.5	100%	66.67%	86.67%
10.5	100%	83.33%	93.33%
12.5	100%	100%	100%
14.5	100%	100%	100%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

Patch 7.19

16 matches • 5 wins • 11 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	20%	0%	6.25%
-14.5	20%	0%	6.25%
-12.5	20%	0%	6.25%
-10.5	20%	0%	6.25%
-8.5	20%	0%	6.25%
-6.5	20%	0%	6.25%
-4.5	40%	0%	12.5%
-2.5	60%	0%	18.75%
-0.5	60%	0%	18.75%
0.5	60%	0%	18.75%
2.5	80%	0%	25%
4.5	100%	9.09%	37.5%
6.5	100%	9.09%	37.5%
8.5	100%	9.09%	37.5%
10.5	100%	9.09%	37.5%
12.5	100%	9.09%	37.5%
14.5	100%	9.09%	37.5%
16.5	100%	18.18%	43.75%

Patch 7.17

15 matches • 9 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	22.22%	0%	13.33%
-14.5	33.33%	0%	20%
-12.5	55.56%	0%	33.33%
-10.5	66.67%	0%	40%
-8.5	66.67%	16.67%	46.67%
-6.5	88.89%	16.67%	60%
-4.5	88.89%	16.67%	60%
-2.5	88.89%	33.33%	66.67%
-0.5	88.89%	33.33%	66.67%
0.5	88.89%	33.33%	66.67%
2.5	88.89%	50%	73.33%
4.5	88.89%	50%	73.33%
6.5	88.89%	50%	73.33%
8.5	88.89%	50%	73.33%
10.5	88.89%	50%	73.33%
12.5	100%	66.67%	86.67%
14.5	100%	83.33%	93.33%
16.5	100%	83.33%	93.33%