Handicap analysis

Aurora Gaming Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 325 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

325

Total Wins

169

Total Losses

156

Overall Handicap Summary

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %	Matches Covered
-16.5	47.34%	0%	24.62%	80
-14.5	57.4%	0%	29.85%	97
-12.5	63.91%	0%	33.23%	108
-10.5	71.6%	0%	37.23%	121
-8.5	76.92%	0.64%	40.31%	131
-6.5	81.66%	0.64%	42.77%	139
-4.5	86.98%	3.21%	46.77%	152
-2.5	92.31%	4.49%	50.15%	163
-0.5	92.9%	6.41%	51.38%	167
0.5	94.08%	7.69%	52.62%	171
2.5	94.67%	10.26%	54.15%	176
4.5	96.45%	14.1%	56.92%	185
6.5	98.22%	17.95%	59.69%	194
8.5	98.22%	25%	63.08%	205
10.5	98.22%	29.49%	65.23%	212
12.5	98.82%	39.1%	70.15%	228
14.5	99.41%	49.36%	75.38%	245
16.5	100%	56.41%	79.08%	257

Handicap Analysis by League

DreamLeague Division 2 Season 3

20 matches • 16 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	43.75%	0%	35%
-14.5	68.75%	0%	55%
-12.5	75%	0%	60%
-10.5	75%	0%	60%
-8.5	75%	0%	60%
-6.5	81.25%	0%	65%
-4.5	87.5%	0%	70%
-2.5	93.75%	0%	75%
-0.5	93.75%	0%	75%
0.5	93.75%	0%	75%
2.5	93.75%	0%	75%
4.5	100%	0%	80%
6.5	100%	0%	80%
8.5	100%	25%	85%
10.5	100%	25%	85%
12.5	100%	25%	85%
14.5	100%	25%	85%
16.5	100%	25%	85%

FISSURE Universe Episode 8

20 matches • 16 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	56.25%	0%	45%
-14.5	62.5%	0%	50%
-12.5	75%	0%	60%
-10.5	75%	0%	60%
-8.5	75%	0%	60%
-6.5	75%	0%	60%
-4.5	75%	0%	60%
-2.5	87.5%	0%	70%
-0.5	87.5%	0%	70%
0.5	93.75%	0%	75%
2.5	100%	25%	85%
4.5	100%	25%	85%
6.5	100%	25%	85%
8.5	100%	25%	85%
10.5	100%	25%	85%
12.5	100%	75%	95%
14.5	100%	75%	95%
16.5	100%	75%	95%

DreamLeague Season 27

16 matches • 6 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	18.75%
-14.5	66.67%	0%	25%
-12.5	66.67%	0%	25%
-10.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-4.5	83.33%	10%	37.5%
-2.5	83.33%	10%	37.5%
-0.5	83.33%	20%	43.75%
0.5	100%	20%	50%
2.5	100%	20%	50%
4.5	100%	30%	56.25%
6.5	100%	30%	56.25%
8.5	100%	40%	62.5%
10.5	100%	40%	62.5%
12.5	100%	40%	62.5%
14.5	100%	70%	81.25%
16.5	100%	70%	81.25%

SLAM IV

16 matches • 7 wins • 9 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-14.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-12.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-10.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-8.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-6.5	57.14%	0%	25%
-4.5	85.71%	0%	37.5%
-2.5	100%	0%	43.75%
-0.5	100%	0%	43.75%
0.5	100%	0%	43.75%
2.5	100%	0%	43.75%
4.5	100%	11.11%	50%
6.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
8.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
10.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
12.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
14.5	100%	22.22%	56.25%
16.5	100%	33.33%	62.5%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2

14 matches • 7 wins • 7 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	42.86%	0%	21.43%
-14.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-12.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-10.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-8.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-6.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-4.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
6.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
8.5	100%	28.57%	64.29%
10.5	100%	28.57%	64.29%
12.5	100%	42.86%	71.43%
14.5	100%	42.86%	71.43%
16.5	100%	42.86%	71.43%

The International 2025

13 matches • 7 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	57.14%	0%	30.77%
-14.5	57.14%	0%	30.77%
-12.5	57.14%	0%	30.77%
-10.5	85.71%	0%	46.15%
-8.5	85.71%	0%	46.15%
-6.5	85.71%	0%	46.15%
-4.5	100%	0%	53.85%
-2.5	100%	0%	53.85%
-0.5	100%	0%	53.85%
0.5	100%	0%	53.85%
2.5	100%	0%	53.85%
4.5	100%	0%	53.85%
6.5	100%	16.67%	61.54%
8.5	100%	33.33%	69.23%
10.5	100%	33.33%	69.23%
12.5	100%	33.33%	69.23%
14.5	100%	33.33%	69.23%
16.5	100%	33.33%	69.23%

FISSURE Universe Episode 6

11 matches • 5 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	60%	0%	27.27%
-14.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-12.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-10.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-8.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-6.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-4.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-2.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-0.5	100%	0%	45.45%
0.5	100%	0%	45.45%
2.5	100%	0%	45.45%
4.5	100%	0%	45.45%
6.5	100%	0%	45.45%
8.5	100%	0%	45.45%
10.5	100%	0%	45.45%
12.5	100%	0%	45.45%
14.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
16.5	100%	50%	72.73%

Esports World Cup 2025

12 matches • 8 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	25%	0%	16.67%
-14.5	50%	0%	33.33%
-12.5	50%	0%	33.33%
-10.5	50%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	75%	0%	50%
-6.5	100%	0%	66.67%
-4.5	100%	0%	66.67%
-2.5	100%	0%	66.67%
-0.5	100%	0%	66.67%
0.5	100%	0%	66.67%
2.5	100%	0%	66.67%
4.5	100%	0%	66.67%
6.5	100%	25%	75%
8.5	100%	25%	75%
10.5	100%	25%	75%
12.5	100%	25%	75%
14.5	100%	25%	75%
16.5	100%	50%	83.33%

FISSURE Universe Episode 5

16 matches • 8 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	25%
-14.5	62.5%	0%	31.25%
-12.5	62.5%	0%	31.25%
-10.5	62.5%	0%	31.25%
-8.5	75%	0%	37.5%
-6.5	75%	0%	37.5%
-4.5	87.5%	0%	43.75%
-2.5	87.5%	12.5%	50%
-0.5	87.5%	12.5%	50%
0.5	87.5%	25%	56.25%
2.5	87.5%	25%	56.25%
4.5	87.5%	25%	56.25%
6.5	100%	25%	62.5%
8.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
10.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
12.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
14.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%
16.5	100%	37.5%	68.75%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

14 matches • 7 wins • 7 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-14.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-12.5	71.43%	0%	35.71%
-10.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-8.5	85.71%	0%	42.86%
-6.5	100%	0%	50%
-4.5	100%	0%	50%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	0%	50%
6.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
8.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
10.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
12.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
14.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%
16.5	100%	14.29%	57.14%

DreamLeague Season 26

38 matches • 21 wins • 17 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	38.1%	0%	21.05%
-14.5	38.1%	0%	21.05%
-12.5	57.14%	0%	31.58%
-10.5	61.9%	0%	34.21%
-8.5	66.67%	0%	36.84%
-6.5	71.43%	0%	39.47%
-4.5	76.19%	0%	42.11%
-2.5	80.95%	0%	44.74%
-0.5	80.95%	0%	44.74%
0.5	80.95%	5.88%	47.37%
2.5	80.95%	17.65%	52.63%
4.5	80.95%	23.53%	55.26%
6.5	85.71%	29.41%	60.53%
8.5	85.71%	35.29%	63.16%
10.5	85.71%	41.18%	65.79%
12.5	90.48%	52.94%	73.68%
14.5	95.24%	58.82%	78.95%
16.5	100%	70.59%	86.84%

SLAM III

11 matches • 5 wins • 6 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	60%	0%	27.27%
-14.5	80%	0%	36.36%
-12.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-10.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-8.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-6.5	100%	0%	45.45%
-4.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
-2.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
-0.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
0.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
2.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
4.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
6.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
8.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
10.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
12.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
14.5	100%	33.33%	63.64%
16.5	100%	50%	72.73%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

21 matches • 11 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	45.45%	0%	23.81%
-14.5	54.55%	0%	28.57%
-12.5	63.64%	0%	33.33%
-10.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-8.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-6.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-4.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-2.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-0.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
0.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
2.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
4.5	90.91%	10%	52.38%
6.5	100%	10%	57.14%
8.5	100%	40%	71.43%
10.5	100%	40%	71.43%
12.5	100%	40%	71.43%
14.5	100%	40%	71.43%
16.5	100%	40%	71.43%

FISSURE Universe Episode 4

12 matches • 5 wins • 7 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	40%	0%	16.67%
-14.5	60%	0%	25%
-12.5	60%	0%	25%
-10.5	60%	0%	25%
-8.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-6.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-4.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-2.5	80%	0%	33.33%
-0.5	100%	0%	41.67%
0.5	100%	0%	41.67%
2.5	100%	0%	41.67%
4.5	100%	0%	41.67%
6.5	100%	0%	41.67%
8.5	100%	0%	41.67%
10.5	100%	0%	41.67%
12.5	100%	14.29%	50%
14.5	100%	28.57%	58.33%
16.5	100%	42.86%	66.67%

PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

21 matches • 11 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	36.36%	0%	19.05%
-14.5	45.45%	0%	23.81%
-12.5	54.55%	0%	28.57%
-10.5	63.64%	0%	33.33%
-8.5	72.73%	0%	38.1%
-6.5	72.73%	0%	38.1%
-4.5	81.82%	0%	42.86%
-2.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
-0.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
0.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
2.5	90.91%	0%	47.62%
4.5	100%	10%	57.14%
6.5	100%	10%	57.14%
8.5	100%	20%	61.9%
10.5	100%	20%	61.9%
12.5	100%	40%	71.43%
14.5	100%	50%	76.19%
16.5	100%	60%	80.95%

FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

5 matches • 1 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	0%	0%	0%
-14.5	0%	0%	0%
-12.5	100%	0%	20%
-10.5	100%	0%	20%
-8.5	100%	0%	20%
-6.5	100%	0%	20%
-4.5	100%	0%	20%
-2.5	100%	0%	20%
-0.5	100%	0%	20%
0.5	100%	0%	20%
2.5	100%	0%	20%
4.5	100%	0%	20%
6.5	100%	0%	20%
8.5	100%	0%	20%
10.5	100%	0%	20%
12.5	100%	0%	20%
14.5	100%	50%	60%
16.5	100%	75%	80%

BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024

17 matches • 7 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-14.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-12.5	42.86%	0%	17.65%
-10.5	57.14%	0%	23.53%
-8.5	57.14%	10%	29.41%
-6.5	71.43%	10%	35.29%
-4.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
-2.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
-0.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
0.5	85.71%	20%	47.06%
2.5	85.71%	30%	52.94%
4.5	100%	40%	64.71%
6.5	100%	40%	64.71%
8.5	100%	40%	64.71%
10.5	100%	50%	70.59%
12.5	100%	50%	70.59%
14.5	100%	70%	82.35%
16.5	100%	70%	82.35%

The International 2024

16 matches • 6 wins • 10 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	33.33%	0%	12.5%
-14.5	33.33%	0%	12.5%
-12.5	33.33%	0%	12.5%
-10.5	50%	0%	18.75%
-8.5	83.33%	0%	31.25%
-6.5	100%	0%	37.5%
-4.5	100%	0%	37.5%
-2.5	100%	0%	37.5%
-0.5	100%	10%	43.75%
0.5	100%	10%	43.75%
2.5	100%	10%	43.75%
4.5	100%	10%	43.75%
6.5	100%	10%	43.75%
8.5	100%	20%	50%
10.5	100%	50%	68.75%
12.5	100%	70%	81.25%
14.5	100%	90%	93.75%
16.5	100%	100%	100%

FISSURE Universe: Episode 3

6 matches • 2 wins • 4 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-14.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-12.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-10.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-8.5	50%	0%	16.67%
-6.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-4.5	100%	0%	33.33%
-2.5	100%	25%	50%
-0.5	100%	25%	50%
0.5	100%	25%	50%
2.5	100%	25%	50%
4.5	100%	25%	50%
6.5	100%	25%	50%
8.5	100%	25%	50%
10.5	100%	50%	66.67%
12.5	100%	50%	66.67%
14.5	100%	50%	66.67%
16.5	100%	75%	83.33%

Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup

26 matches • 13 wins • 13 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	61.54%	0%	30.77%
-14.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-12.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-10.5	76.92%	0%	38.46%
-8.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-6.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-4.5	92.31%	0%	46.15%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	0%	50%
6.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
8.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
10.5	100%	15.38%	57.69%
12.5	100%	53.85%	76.92%
14.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%
16.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.40

40 matches • 32 wins • 8 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	50%	0%	40%
-14.5	65.63%	0%	52.5%
-12.5	75%	0%	60%
-10.5	75%	0%	60%
-8.5	75%	0%	60%
-6.5	78.13%	0%	62.5%
-4.5	81.25%	0%	65%
-2.5	90.63%	0%	72.5%
-0.5	90.63%	0%	72.5%
0.5	93.75%	0%	75%
2.5	96.88%	12.5%	80%
4.5	100%	12.5%	82.5%
6.5	100%	12.5%	82.5%
8.5	100%	25%	85%
10.5	100%	25%	85%
12.5	100%	50%	90%
14.5	100%	50%	90%
16.5	100%	50%	90%

Patch 7.39

136 matches • 66 wins • 70 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	48.48%	0%	23.53%
-14.5	59.09%	0%	28.68%
-12.5	60.61%	0%	29.41%
-10.5	69.7%	0%	33.82%
-8.5	75.76%	0%	36.76%
-6.5	80.3%	0%	38.97%
-4.5	87.88%	1.43%	43.38%
-2.5	92.42%	2.86%	46.32%
-0.5	92.42%	4.29%	47.06%
0.5	93.94%	7.14%	49.26%
2.5	93.94%	8.57%	50%
4.5	93.94%	12.86%	52.21%
6.5	96.97%	20%	57.35%
8.5	96.97%	27.14%	61.03%
10.5	96.97%	28.57%	61.76%
12.5	96.97%	31.43%	63.24%
14.5	98.48%	40%	68.38%
16.5	100%	45.71%	72.06%

Patch 7.38

79 matches • 42 wins • 37 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	42.86%	0%	22.78%
-14.5	52.38%	0%	27.85%
-12.5	66.67%	0%	35.44%
-10.5	76.19%	0%	40.51%
-8.5	80.95%	0%	43.04%
-6.5	83.33%	0%	44.3%
-4.5	85.71%	5.41%	48.1%
-2.5	90.48%	5.41%	50.63%
-0.5	92.86%	8.11%	53.16%
0.5	92.86%	8.11%	53.16%
2.5	92.86%	10.81%	54.43%
4.5	95.24%	16.22%	58.23%
6.5	97.62%	16.22%	59.49%
8.5	97.62%	27.03%	64.56%
10.5	97.62%	27.03%	64.56%
12.5	100%	37.84%	70.89%
14.5	100%	43.24%	73.42%
16.5	100%	54.05%	78.48%

Patch 7.37

44 matches • 16 wins • 28 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	37.5%	0%	13.64%
-14.5	37.5%	0%	13.64%
-12.5	43.75%	0%	15.91%
-10.5	56.25%	0%	20.45%
-8.5	68.75%	3.57%	27.27%
-6.5	87.5%	3.57%	34.09%
-4.5	93.75%	7.14%	38.64%
-2.5	93.75%	10.71%	40.91%
-0.5	93.75%	14.29%	43.18%
0.5	93.75%	14.29%	43.18%
2.5	93.75%	17.86%	45.45%
4.5	100%	21.43%	50%
6.5	100%	21.43%	50%
8.5	100%	25%	52.27%
10.5	100%	42.86%	63.64%
12.5	100%	50%	68.18%
14.5	100%	71.43%	81.82%
16.5	100%	82.14%	88.64%

Patch 7.36

26 matches • 13 wins • 13 losses

Handicap	Wins %	Losses %	Total %
-16.5	61.54%	0%	30.77%
-14.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-12.5	69.23%	0%	34.62%
-10.5	76.92%	0%	38.46%
-8.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-6.5	84.62%	0%	42.31%
-4.5	92.31%	0%	46.15%
-2.5	100%	0%	50%
-0.5	100%	0%	50%
0.5	100%	0%	50%
2.5	100%	0%	50%
4.5	100%	0%	50%
6.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
8.5	100%	7.69%	53.85%
10.5	100%	15.38%	57.69%
12.5	100%	53.85%	76.92%
14.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%
16.5	100%	69.23%	84.62%