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Handicap analysis

Aurora Gaming Handicap Analysis

Analyzing 408 matches with kill handicaps from -16.5 to +16.5.

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How it works: For each match, we simulate how the result would change if we applied kill handicaps ranging from -16.5 to +16.5. A positive handicap helps the losing team, while a negative handicap reduces the winning team's advantage.

Total Matches

408

Total Wins

225

Total Losses

183

Overall Handicap Summary
HandicapWins %Losses %Total %Matches Covered
-16.546.67%0%25.74%105
-14.557.33%0%31.62%129
-12.564.44%0%35.54%145
-10.572.44%0%39.95%163
-8.577.78%0.55%43.14%176
-6.584.44%0.55%46.81%191
-4.589.33%2.73%50.49%206
-2.593.33%3.83%53.19%217
-0.593.78%5.46%54.17%221
0.594.67%6.56%55.15%225
2.595.56%9.29%56.86%232
4.596.89%13.11%59.31%242
6.598.67%16.39%61.76%252
8.598.67%23.5%64.95%265
10.598.67%28.42%67.16%274
12.599.11%37.7%71.57%292
14.599.56%46.99%75.98%310
16.5100%55.19%79.9%326

Handicap Analysis by League

ESL One Birmingham 2026

19 matches • 14 wins • 5 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.557.14%0%42.11%
-14.564.29%0%47.37%
-12.571.43%0%52.63%
-10.578.57%0%57.89%
-8.592.86%0%68.42%
-6.5100%0%73.68%
-4.5100%0%73.68%
-2.5100%0%73.68%
-0.5100%0%73.68%
0.5100%0%73.68%
2.5100%0%73.68%
4.5100%0%73.68%
6.5100%0%73.68%
8.5100%20%78.95%
10.5100%40%84.21%
12.5100%60%89.47%
14.5100%60%89.47%
16.5100%60%89.47%
PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 7

17 matches • 9 wins • 8 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.533.33%0%17.65%
-14.544.44%0%23.53%
-12.555.56%0%29.41%
-10.555.56%0%29.41%
-8.555.56%0%29.41%
-6.577.78%0%41.18%
-4.588.89%0%47.06%
-2.588.89%0%47.06%
-0.588.89%0%47.06%
0.588.89%0%47.06%
2.588.89%0%47.06%
4.588.89%0%47.06%
6.5100%0%52.94%
8.5100%0%52.94%
10.5100%12.5%58.82%
12.5100%12.5%58.82%
14.5100%12.5%58.82%
16.5100%37.5%70.59%
DreamLeague Season 28

42 matches • 28 wins • 14 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.542.86%0%28.57%
-14.560.71%0%40.48%
-12.571.43%0%47.62%
-10.585.71%0%57.14%
-8.585.71%0%57.14%
-6.596.43%0%64.29%
-4.596.43%0%64.29%
-2.596.43%0%64.29%
-0.596.43%0%64.29%
0.596.43%0%64.29%
2.5100%7.14%69.05%
4.5100%14.29%71.43%
6.5100%14.29%71.43%
8.5100%21.43%73.81%
10.5100%21.43%73.81%
12.5100%28.57%76.19%
14.5100%35.71%78.57%
16.5100%50%83.33%
DreamLeague Division 2 Season 3

25 matches • 21 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.542.86%0%36%
-14.561.9%0%52%
-12.566.67%0%56%
-10.566.67%0%56%
-8.571.43%0%60%
-6.580.95%0%68%
-4.590.48%0%76%
-2.595.24%0%80%
-0.595.24%0%80%
0.595.24%0%80%
2.595.24%0%80%
4.5100%0%84%
6.5100%0%84%
8.5100%25%88%
10.5100%25%88%
12.5100%25%88%
14.5100%25%88%
16.5100%25%88%
FISSURE Universe Episode 8

20 matches • 16 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.556.25%0%45%
-14.562.5%0%50%
-12.575%0%60%
-10.575%0%60%
-8.575%0%60%
-6.575%0%60%
-4.575%0%60%
-2.587.5%0%70%
-0.587.5%0%70%
0.593.75%0%75%
2.5100%25%85%
4.5100%25%85%
6.5100%25%85%
8.5100%25%85%
10.5100%25%85%
12.5100%75%95%
14.5100%75%95%
16.5100%75%95%
DreamLeague Season 27

16 matches • 6 wins • 10 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.550%0%18.75%
-14.566.67%0%25%
-12.566.67%0%25%
-10.583.33%0%31.25%
-8.583.33%0%31.25%
-6.583.33%0%31.25%
-4.583.33%10%37.5%
-2.583.33%10%37.5%
-0.583.33%20%43.75%
0.5100%20%50%
2.5100%20%50%
4.5100%30%56.25%
6.5100%30%56.25%
8.5100%40%62.5%
10.5100%40%62.5%
12.5100%40%62.5%
14.5100%70%81.25%
16.5100%70%81.25%
SLAM IV

16 matches • 7 wins • 9 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.557.14%0%25%
-14.557.14%0%25%
-12.557.14%0%25%
-10.557.14%0%25%
-8.557.14%0%25%
-6.557.14%0%25%
-4.585.71%0%37.5%
-2.5100%0%43.75%
-0.5100%0%43.75%
0.5100%0%43.75%
2.5100%0%43.75%
4.5100%11.11%50%
6.5100%22.22%56.25%
8.5100%22.22%56.25%
10.5100%22.22%56.25%
12.5100%22.22%56.25%
14.5100%22.22%56.25%
16.5100%33.33%62.5%
FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2

14 matches • 7 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.542.86%0%21.43%
-14.571.43%0%35.71%
-12.571.43%0%35.71%
-10.585.71%0%42.86%
-8.585.71%0%42.86%
-6.585.71%0%42.86%
-4.585.71%0%42.86%
-2.5100%0%50%
-0.5100%0%50%
0.5100%0%50%
2.5100%0%50%
4.5100%14.29%57.14%
6.5100%14.29%57.14%
8.5100%28.57%64.29%
10.5100%28.57%64.29%
12.5100%42.86%71.43%
14.5100%42.86%71.43%
16.5100%42.86%71.43%
The International 2025

13 matches • 7 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.557.14%0%30.77%
-14.557.14%0%30.77%
-12.557.14%0%30.77%
-10.585.71%0%46.15%
-8.585.71%0%46.15%
-6.585.71%0%46.15%
-4.5100%0%53.85%
-2.5100%0%53.85%
-0.5100%0%53.85%
0.5100%0%53.85%
2.5100%0%53.85%
4.5100%0%53.85%
6.5100%16.67%61.54%
8.5100%33.33%69.23%
10.5100%33.33%69.23%
12.5100%33.33%69.23%
14.5100%33.33%69.23%
16.5100%33.33%69.23%
FISSURE Universe Episode 6

11 matches • 5 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.560%0%27.27%
-14.580%0%36.36%
-12.580%0%36.36%
-10.580%0%36.36%
-8.580%0%36.36%
-6.580%0%36.36%
-4.580%0%36.36%
-2.5100%0%45.45%
-0.5100%0%45.45%
0.5100%0%45.45%
2.5100%0%45.45%
4.5100%0%45.45%
6.5100%0%45.45%
8.5100%0%45.45%
10.5100%0%45.45%
12.5100%0%45.45%
14.5100%33.33%63.64%
16.5100%50%72.73%
Esports World Cup 2025

12 matches • 8 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.525%0%16.67%
-14.550%0%33.33%
-12.550%0%33.33%
-10.550%0%33.33%
-8.575%0%50%
-6.5100%0%66.67%
-4.5100%0%66.67%
-2.5100%0%66.67%
-0.5100%0%66.67%
0.5100%0%66.67%
2.5100%0%66.67%
4.5100%0%66.67%
6.5100%25%75%
8.5100%25%75%
10.5100%25%75%
12.5100%25%75%
14.5100%25%75%
16.5100%50%83.33%
FISSURE Universe Episode 5

16 matches • 8 wins • 8 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.550%0%25%
-14.562.5%0%31.25%
-12.562.5%0%31.25%
-10.562.5%0%31.25%
-8.575%0%37.5%
-6.575%0%37.5%
-4.587.5%0%43.75%
-2.587.5%12.5%50%
-0.587.5%12.5%50%
0.587.5%25%56.25%
2.587.5%25%56.25%
4.587.5%25%56.25%
6.5100%25%62.5%
8.5100%37.5%68.75%
10.5100%37.5%68.75%
12.5100%37.5%68.75%
14.5100%37.5%68.75%
16.5100%37.5%68.75%
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 5

14 matches • 7 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.571.43%0%35.71%
-14.571.43%0%35.71%
-12.571.43%0%35.71%
-10.585.71%0%42.86%
-8.585.71%0%42.86%
-6.5100%0%50%
-4.5100%0%50%
-2.5100%0%50%
-0.5100%0%50%
0.5100%0%50%
2.5100%0%50%
4.5100%0%50%
6.5100%14.29%57.14%
8.5100%14.29%57.14%
10.5100%14.29%57.14%
12.5100%14.29%57.14%
14.5100%14.29%57.14%
16.5100%14.29%57.14%
DreamLeague Season 26

38 matches • 21 wins • 17 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.538.1%0%21.05%
-14.538.1%0%21.05%
-12.557.14%0%31.58%
-10.561.9%0%34.21%
-8.566.67%0%36.84%
-6.571.43%0%39.47%
-4.576.19%0%42.11%
-2.580.95%0%44.74%
-0.580.95%0%44.74%
0.580.95%5.88%47.37%
2.580.95%17.65%52.63%
4.580.95%23.53%55.26%
6.585.71%29.41%60.53%
8.585.71%35.29%63.16%
10.585.71%41.18%65.79%
12.590.48%52.94%73.68%
14.595.24%58.82%78.95%
16.5100%70.59%86.84%
SLAM III

11 matches • 5 wins • 6 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.560%0%27.27%
-14.580%0%36.36%
-12.5100%0%45.45%
-10.5100%0%45.45%
-8.5100%0%45.45%
-6.5100%0%45.45%
-4.5100%33.33%63.64%
-2.5100%33.33%63.64%
-0.5100%33.33%63.64%
0.5100%33.33%63.64%
2.5100%33.33%63.64%
4.5100%33.33%63.64%
6.5100%33.33%63.64%
8.5100%33.33%63.64%
10.5100%33.33%63.64%
12.5100%33.33%63.64%
14.5100%33.33%63.64%
16.5100%50%72.73%
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 4

21 matches • 11 wins • 10 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.545.45%0%23.81%
-14.554.55%0%28.57%
-12.563.64%0%33.33%
-10.590.91%0%47.62%
-8.590.91%0%47.62%
-6.590.91%0%47.62%
-4.590.91%0%47.62%
-2.590.91%0%47.62%
-0.590.91%10%52.38%
0.590.91%10%52.38%
2.590.91%10%52.38%
4.590.91%10%52.38%
6.5100%10%57.14%
8.5100%40%71.43%
10.5100%40%71.43%
12.5100%40%71.43%
14.5100%40%71.43%
16.5100%40%71.43%
FISSURE Universe Episode 4

12 matches • 5 wins • 7 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.540%0%16.67%
-14.560%0%25%
-12.560%0%25%
-10.560%0%25%
-8.580%0%33.33%
-6.580%0%33.33%
-4.580%0%33.33%
-2.580%0%33.33%
-0.5100%0%41.67%
0.5100%0%41.67%
2.5100%0%41.67%
4.5100%0%41.67%
6.5100%0%41.67%
8.5100%0%41.67%
10.5100%0%41.67%
12.5100%14.29%50%
14.5100%28.57%58.33%
16.5100%42.86%66.67%
PGL Wallachia 2025 Season 3

21 matches • 11 wins • 10 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.536.36%0%19.05%
-14.545.45%0%23.81%
-12.554.55%0%28.57%
-10.563.64%0%33.33%
-8.572.73%0%38.1%
-6.572.73%0%38.1%
-4.581.82%0%42.86%
-2.590.91%0%47.62%
-0.590.91%0%47.62%
0.590.91%0%47.62%
2.590.91%0%47.62%
4.5100%10%57.14%
6.5100%10%57.14%
8.5100%20%61.9%
10.5100%20%61.9%
12.5100%40%71.43%
14.5100%50%76.19%
16.5100%60%80.95%
FISSURE PLAYGROUND 1 - Dota

5 matches • 1 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.50%0%0%
-14.50%0%0%
-12.5100%0%20%
-10.5100%0%20%
-8.5100%0%20%
-6.5100%0%20%
-4.5100%0%20%
-2.5100%0%20%
-0.5100%0%20%
0.5100%0%20%
2.5100%0%20%
4.5100%0%20%
6.5100%0%20%
8.5100%0%20%
10.5100%0%20%
12.5100%0%20%
14.5100%50%60%
16.5100%75%80%
BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024

17 matches • 7 wins • 10 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.542.86%0%17.65%
-14.542.86%0%17.65%
-12.542.86%0%17.65%
-10.557.14%0%23.53%
-8.557.14%10%29.41%
-6.571.43%10%35.29%
-4.585.71%20%47.06%
-2.585.71%20%47.06%
-0.585.71%20%47.06%
0.585.71%20%47.06%
2.585.71%30%52.94%
4.5100%40%64.71%
6.5100%40%64.71%
8.5100%40%64.71%
10.5100%50%70.59%
12.5100%50%70.59%
14.5100%70%82.35%
16.5100%70%82.35%
The International 2024

16 matches • 6 wins • 10 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.533.33%0%12.5%
-14.533.33%0%12.5%
-12.533.33%0%12.5%
-10.550%0%18.75%
-8.583.33%0%31.25%
-6.5100%0%37.5%
-4.5100%0%37.5%
-2.5100%0%37.5%
-0.5100%10%43.75%
0.5100%10%43.75%
2.5100%10%43.75%
4.5100%10%43.75%
6.5100%10%43.75%
8.5100%20%50%
10.5100%50%68.75%
12.5100%70%81.25%
14.5100%90%93.75%
16.5100%100%100%
FISSURE Universe: Episode 3

6 matches • 2 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.550%0%16.67%
-14.550%0%16.67%
-12.550%0%16.67%
-10.550%0%16.67%
-8.550%0%16.67%
-6.5100%0%33.33%
-4.5100%0%33.33%
-2.5100%25%50%
-0.5100%25%50%
0.5100%25%50%
2.5100%25%50%
4.5100%25%50%
6.5100%25%50%
8.5100%25%50%
10.5100%50%66.67%
12.5100%50%66.67%
14.5100%50%66.67%
16.5100%75%83.33%
Riyadh Masters 2024 at Esports World Cup

26 matches • 13 wins • 13 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.561.54%0%30.77%
-14.569.23%0%34.62%
-12.569.23%0%34.62%
-10.576.92%0%38.46%
-8.584.62%0%42.31%
-6.584.62%0%42.31%
-4.592.31%0%46.15%
-2.5100%0%50%
-0.5100%0%50%
0.5100%0%50%
2.5100%0%50%
4.5100%0%50%
6.5100%7.69%53.85%
8.5100%7.69%53.85%
10.5100%15.38%57.69%
12.5100%53.85%76.92%
14.5100%69.23%84.62%
16.5100%69.23%84.62%

Handicap Analysis by Patch

Patch 7.41

5 matches • 1 wins • 4 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.50%0%0%
-14.50%0%0%
-12.50%0%0%
-10.50%0%0%
-8.5100%0%20%
-6.5100%0%20%
-4.5100%0%20%
-2.5100%0%20%
-0.5100%0%20%
0.5100%0%20%
2.5100%0%20%
4.5100%0%20%
6.5100%0%20%
8.5100%0%20%
10.5100%25%40%
12.5100%50%60%
14.5100%50%60%
16.5100%50%60%
Patch 7.40

118 matches • 87 wins • 31 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.547.13%0%34.75%
-14.560.92%0%44.92%
-12.570.11%0%51.69%
-10.575.86%0%55.93%
-8.578.16%0%57.63%
-6.587.36%0%64.41%
-4.590.8%0%66.95%
-2.594.25%0%69.49%
-0.594.25%0%69.49%
0.595.4%0%70.34%
2.597.7%6.45%73.73%
4.598.85%9.68%75.42%
6.5100%9.68%76.27%
8.5100%19.35%78.81%
10.5100%22.58%79.66%
12.5100%32.26%82.2%
14.5100%35.48%83.05%
16.5100%48.39%86.44%
Patch 7.39

136 matches • 66 wins • 70 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.548.48%0%23.53%
-14.559.09%0%28.68%
-12.560.61%0%29.41%
-10.569.7%0%33.82%
-8.575.76%0%36.76%
-6.580.3%0%38.97%
-4.587.88%1.43%43.38%
-2.592.42%2.86%46.32%
-0.592.42%4.29%47.06%
0.593.94%7.14%49.26%
2.593.94%8.57%50%
4.593.94%12.86%52.21%
6.596.97%20%57.35%
8.596.97%27.14%61.03%
10.596.97%28.57%61.76%
12.596.97%31.43%63.24%
14.598.48%40%68.38%
16.5100%45.71%72.06%
Patch 7.38

79 matches • 42 wins • 37 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.542.86%0%22.78%
-14.552.38%0%27.85%
-12.566.67%0%35.44%
-10.576.19%0%40.51%
-8.580.95%0%43.04%
-6.583.33%0%44.3%
-4.585.71%5.41%48.1%
-2.590.48%5.41%50.63%
-0.592.86%8.11%53.16%
0.592.86%8.11%53.16%
2.592.86%10.81%54.43%
4.595.24%16.22%58.23%
6.597.62%16.22%59.49%
8.597.62%27.03%64.56%
10.597.62%27.03%64.56%
12.5100%37.84%70.89%
14.5100%43.24%73.42%
16.5100%54.05%78.48%
Patch 7.37

44 matches • 16 wins • 28 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.537.5%0%13.64%
-14.537.5%0%13.64%
-12.543.75%0%15.91%
-10.556.25%0%20.45%
-8.568.75%3.57%27.27%
-6.587.5%3.57%34.09%
-4.593.75%7.14%38.64%
-2.593.75%10.71%40.91%
-0.593.75%14.29%43.18%
0.593.75%14.29%43.18%
2.593.75%17.86%45.45%
4.5100%21.43%50%
6.5100%21.43%50%
8.5100%25%52.27%
10.5100%42.86%63.64%
12.5100%50%68.18%
14.5100%71.43%81.82%
16.5100%82.14%88.64%
Patch 7.36

26 matches • 13 wins • 13 losses

HandicapWins %Losses %Total %
-16.561.54%0%30.77%
-14.569.23%0%34.62%
-12.569.23%0%34.62%
-10.576.92%0%38.46%
-8.584.62%0%42.31%
-6.584.62%0%42.31%
-4.592.31%0%46.15%
-2.5100%0%50%
-0.5100%0%50%
0.5100%0%50%
2.5100%0%50%
4.5100%0%50%
6.5100%7.69%53.85%
8.5100%7.69%53.85%
10.5100%15.38%57.69%
12.5100%53.85%76.92%
14.5100%69.23%84.62%
16.5100%69.23%84.62%